Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.832000 2.087491 2.365227 2.689510 3.057724 3.462815 3.942306
2025-10-05 1.516121 1.883981 2.318786 2.870408 3.551559 4.365203 5.411342
2025-10-12 1.281302 1.690479 2.202885 2.891267 3.791821 4.930135 6.479271
2025-10-19 1.147504 1.590266 2.171637 2.990200 4.112895 5.599147 7.717901
2025-10-26 1.006947 1.456665 2.072076 2.974749 4.264813 6.042686 8.681520
2025-11-02 0.897490 1.349327 1.990984 2.967326 4.415079 6.483366 9.666101
2025-11-09 0.793782 1.236375 1.886644 2.909945 4.479462 6.796783 10.482508
2025-11-16 0.729184 1.173518 1.847182 2.940763 4.671191 7.304884 11.623339
2025-11-23 0.675094 1.120280 1.815391 2.977102 4.869736 7.833263 12.832829
2025-11-30 0.617836 1.055471 1.758100 2.965168 4.986711 8.238193 13.873088
2025-12-07 0.559813 0.983198 1.681240 2.912316 5.028942 8.521413 14.730795
2025-12-14 0.507955 0.916057 1.606191 2.854229 5.054518 8.774585 15.552030
2025-12-21 0.457220 0.849442 1.531887 2.801234 5.102921 9.102135 16.590103
2025-12-28 0.447537 0.856177 1.587417 2.985732 5.592425 10.244834 19.193128
2026-01-04 0.415166 0.817089 1.556088 3.007604 5.786789 10.877310 20.925568
2026-01-11 0.396968 0.802667 1.568132 3.110465 6.139615 11.826417 23.331929
2026-01-18 0.365857 0.759501 1.521153 3.094400 6.261726 12.352206 24.973527
2026-01-25 0.338971 0.721827 1.480835 3.086681 6.397823 12.913781 26.732721
2026-02-01 0.309344 0.675286 1.418155 3.027017 6.422458 13.256338 28.079260
2026-02-08 0.291740 0.652229 1.400877 3.059062 6.637636 13.997263 30.308772
2026-02-15 0.276164 0.631885 1.387147 3.096846 6.867454 14.786101 32.707773
2026-02-22 0.257543 0.602823 1.351972 3.084438 6.987221 15.353130 34.678750
2026-03-01 0.237142 0.567591 1.299962 3.029482 7.007545 15.707755 36.212840